Example of a fully Bayesian forecast performed using an Evidence Network. This code also replicates the analysis of Gessey-Jones et al. (2024). This repository thus serves the dual purposes of ...

This file tries to take aspects of the Bayesian workflow paper by Gelman and colleagues and apply them to an example scenario in experimental psychology / cognitive neuroscience. The workflow that I ...

In an article recently submitted to the ArXiV* server, researchers delved into the limitations of Expected Improvement (EI) in Bayesian optimization. They introduced LogEI, a novel family of ...

We discuss how to determine and combine upper limits based on observed events and estimated backgrounds with a Bayesian method, when insignificant signals are observed in independent measurements. In ...

Imagine a scenario where a team of doctors faces a perplexing medical puzzle. A patient shows a range of symptoms, each pointing to multiple possible diseases. How can they navigate this diagnostic ...

Cognitive biases, often seen as uniquely human flaws, may instead reflect fundamental decision-making strategies shared across species. By demonstrating that macaque monkeys and carrion crows exhibit ...